Weather Prediction & Data Analysis
Name: Period: Date: T1
REF STUDY GUIDE: Big Ideas Use to answer form questions
1. Data frequency matters — Weather instruments must be read multiple times per day; hourly data reveals pressure and humidity trends that daily readings miss.
2. Multiple variables = one prediction — Accurate forecasts combine pressure, humidity, temperature, and wind data; no single variable is enough.
3. Trends enable forecasts — When pressure falls steadily and humidity rises, meteorologists can predict incoming precipitation hours in advance.
DRAW KEY TERMS Google each → Images tab → sketch what you see
barometer
An instrument that measures air pressure (millibars)
relative humidity
% of water vapor in air compared t…
dew point
temperature at which air is fully …
trend
consistent pattern of change in da…
WRITE FOCUS QUESTION Your initial thinking
How do meteorologists use data to predict severe weather?
On April 27, 2011, meteorologists issued a "high-risk" tornado warning 12 hours in advance—and 62 tornadoes struck Alabama that day. Yet in 2012, Hurricane Sandy's left turn toward New Jersey surprised many forecast models. What data separates a successful prediction from a surprise?
I think...
WRITE AFTER HOOK FORM Reflect before continuing
I learned that...
Station 1 — Weather Data Collection
I observed that...
This shows that...
The key concept is...
CHECK DAY 1 CHECK-IN Before you leave
Q1: Based on today's investigation of weather prediction & data analysis, explain one key finding using evidence from your data. Connect your answer to this week's focus question: How do meteorologists use data to predict severe weather?
Confidence:
NGSS: MS-ESS2-5 Page 1 of 2 | Day 1 v4.4
Weather Prediction & Data Analysis (Day 2)
Name: Period:
Station 2 — Pattern Recognition
The data shows...
This connects to...
I can conclude that...
The main idea is...
This connects to what we learned because...
I can apply this by...
DRAW CONCEPT MODEL Show your understanding visually
Draw a model that shows the main concept. Include labels and arrows to explain relationships.
Labels included
Relationships shown
Key terms used
CHECK TEST YOUR THINKING Rate each: FALSE ← 1–2–3–4–5 → TRUE
1. Weather forecasts are just educated guesses—there's no scientific method behind them.
F12345T
2. Measuring weather once a day gives enough data to predict a severe storm.
F12345T
3. Meteorologists use multiple variables, measured frequently, to build reliable forecasts.
F12345T
4. Severe weather is completely random and impossible to predict in advance.
F12345T
5. Falling air pressure combined with rising humidity is a reliable signal of incoming precipitation.
F12345T
Defend TWO of your ratings - what do you know that you know?
Statement #__: I rated this ___ because...
Statement #__: I rated this ___ because...
SCIENCE CIRCLE: Bring worksheet. Share ratings, defend them. Talk only—no writing!
THINK SCIENTIST CIRCLE REFLECTION Use worksheet notes during discussion
AHA! Moment
The one I changed my thinking most about is...
Remaining Question
I still wonder...
WRITE FOCUS QUESTION REVISIT Final written response
How do meteorologists use data to predict severe weather?
NGSS: MS-ESS2-5 Page 2 of 2 | Day 2 v4.4